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Old 03-01-2010, 07:03 PM
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Tyburn Tyburn is offline
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Default Speculation Mounts on Different kind of British Government in May Ellections

In order to be represented in the palace of Westminster, your party must be in the majority of Local Government Councils, something which is done in Council Ellections (the British Equivilent of a Mid-Term if you consider a Council equatable to the State Governments in American Politics)

There are many Parties represented in The House of Commons, they include Representatives of the Governing Parties of other Principalities within the Kingdom, for example, the Scot Nationalists. They include small parties like The Greens, and The United Kingdom Independance Party.

But in order to form a Government you must be a significant sized party, of which there are only Three.

The Conservatives, which are supposed to represent the Right Wing, but now are Centrist Left. The Labour Party which are supposed to Represent the Left Wing but are now Centrist Right, and the Liberal Democrats who are Centrist.

It usually swings between Labour and Conservative as these are the only Groups big enough to win a majority. An outright majority has never happened in a British Party, but it would be a Ten Point lead over the nearest Rival.

Thankfully a simple Majority can be maintained with about four or five points lead. This looked good for David Cameron who had until recently a five point lead on the speculation polls.

But new polls as the markets begin to stagnate waiting for what the Ellectorate are about to do, show that there is a two to four percent swing.

This means that any party winning a majority, will not win by a margine big enough to Rule. In other words, this Ellection is likely to produce a draw between the two main parties.

This means for the first time since the 1970s Britian, it is speculated might end up with a Coillition Government, which means the merging to two parties. For obvious reasons, due to size, the Labour and Conservative Parties cant merge, one must become the opposition party.

This means it would fall to the Liberal Democrats to decide who they wish to be in power with. Last time it was the Labour Party, and the "Lib-Lab" Government of the 1970s was formed.

But there is an intreguing alternative that it is speculated the Liberal Democrats are thinking. It is known as a "unity" Government. This would mean the Liberals refuse to coillate with either party indefinately, but would jump siding with one, and then siding with the other on a case to case basis.

This would sometimes mean the opposition group would be larger then the Governmental Administration Group on cases where the Liberal Democrats decide to aggree on an issue with the Minority party, against the party with the most votes, ergo, a prime minister, but not enough votes to Rule as a separate party.

The other worry is that the majority of younger voters are not going to want to vote any of the centrist parties, and will throw away their votes on Radicals such as The British Nationalist Party. Enough councils and they will be allowed their own representation in the Palace of Westminster, which despite jumping to Europe in the last European Council Ellections, they havent been able to do.

Once inside...its going to be hard to be rid of them.

At Present with about two months to go, you might find a really precious and rare form of Government emerge from the United Kingdom. To the best of my knowledge, England has NEVER had a Unity Government in this fashion before.
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